Bowl Projections Week 5: Louisiana Tech in a BCS Game?

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I know what you’re thinking: This guy must be a little crazy.

Maybe I am.

I have Louisiana Tech going to a BCS bowl in my week five college football bowl projections. I know, it sounds stupid, but I can explain.  The official BCS rules state that a non-BCS team like Boise State or Louisiana Tech  will receive an automatic berth into a BCS game if:

  • It is ranked in the top 12, or
  • Ranked in the top 16 and higher than at least one BCS conference champion.

Well, the BCS standings aren’t out yet, but Jerry Palm of CBSSports.com is already projecting the BCS standings and he is usually pretty good at it. He has Louisiana Tech at No. 32, meaning the Bulldogs need to cut their position in half by the end of the season to get into the spot it needs to even be considered. I understand that, but look at where Palm has each BCS conference’s highest rated team:

Is it a realistic possibility for Louisiana Tech to play in a BCS game?

1. SEC (Alabama)
2. Pac 12 (Oregon)
4. ACC (Florida State)
8. Big 12 (Kansas State)
17. Big Ten (Michigan State)
19. Big East (Louisville)

The Big Ten and Big East are terrible. The ACC isn’t much better. After Florida State in the ACC, Clemson is the highest rated ACC team at No. 15. Virginia Tech, the team most likely to win the other division is at No. 35. It’s not inconceivable to think the Hokies could win the ACC, considering they do it most years. Virginia Tech would certainly rise if that happened, but would they be above a 12-0 Louisiana Tech team? Remember, Virginia Tech just lost to Pittsburgh, who lost badly to Youngstown State (a FCS school). Meanwhile, Louisville is the highest ranked team in the Big East.  Rutgers is right behind at No. 22. What happens if neither one of those teams wins that conference? That is very likely because the Big East is full of mediocre teams. Flip a coin to pick a winner there. The Big Ten’s best team cannot play in the postseason (Ohio State) and plays its best qualifying team (Michigan State) this weekend. In other words, the Buckeyes can really hurt the conference’s BCS appearance with a win this weekend because the Buckeyes do not qualify for the poll. A loss by Michigan State would drop the Spartans and lower the Big Ten’s already abysmal rankings in the BCS, increasing Louisiana Tech’s chances of earning a BCS spot.

To sum this all up, if Louisiana Tech finishes 12-0, I think the Bulldogs have a fantastic shot at being ranked in the top 16. They would have to win at Texas A&M in that span and this team already has a 52-24 win over Illinois of the Big Ten on its resume. I also believe they will be ranked above the Big East or Big Ten champions, making them eligible. Ohio could screw this up by running the table and being impressive and qualifying the same way or the Bulldogs could lose due to playing a tough schedule, but the team that causes the biggest threat to messing this up is Boise State. The Broncos have a loss, but still could qualify by being in the top 16 and being the highest ranked non-automatic qualifying team ahead of a BCS champion.

For now, I’ll go with the bold prediction and put Louisiana Tech in a BCS game. Remember, the WAC is dissolving after this year. The Bulldogs could sent it out with a bang that absolutely nobody sees coming.

BCS CHAMPIONSHIP
FIESTA BOWL
ROSE BOWL
ORANGE BOWL
SUGAR BOWL
GODADDY.COM
BBVA COMPASS
COTTON
TICKETCITY
OUTBACK
GATOR
CAPITAL ONE
SUN
MUSIC CITY
LIBERTY
CHIC FIL A
PINSTRIPE
KRAFT FIGHT
BUF. WILD WINGS
ARMED FORCES
RUSSELL ATHLETIC
MEINEKE CAR CARE
INDEPENDENCE
MILITARY
HOLIDAY
BELK
LITTLE CEASARS
HAWAII
NEW ORLEANS
LAS VEGAS
BEEF O’ BRADY
POINTSETTIA
NEW MEXICO
IDAHO POTATO
ALAMO

 

About Daniel Evans

Daniel Evans owns CollegeFootballSaturday.com and BracketologyExpert.com. He has a Bachelor's degree from UAB in Journalism, He's written for Touchdown Alabama magazine, NFLMocks.com, and does a weekly sports radio show on Blaze Radio. Evans' bracketology is ranked among the nation's leaders, according to rankings from The Bracket Matrix.

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